Markov regime switching in mean and in fractional integration parameter

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2017

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Taylor & Francis Inc

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

We propose a specific general Markov-regime switching estimation both in the long memory parameter d and the mean of a time series. We employ Viterbi algorithm that combines the Viterbi procedures in two state Markov-switching parameter estimation. It is well-known that existence of mean break and long memory in time series can be easily confused with each other in most cases. Thus, we aim at observing the deviation and interaction of mean and d estimates for different cases. A Monte Carlo experiment reveals that the finite sample performance of the proposed algorithm for a simple mixture model of Markov-switching mean and d changes with respect to the fractional integrating parameters and the mean values for the two regimes.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Fractional İntegration, Long Memory Time Series, Markov Regime Switching, Long-Range Dependence, Stock-Market, Interest-Rates, Time-Series, Memory, Volatility, Volume

Kaynak

Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation

WoS Q Değeri

Q4

Scopus Q Değeri

Q3

Cilt

46

Sayı

9

Künye