Monotonicity violations under plurality with a runoff: the case of French presidential elections

dc.contributor.authorKeskin, Umut
dc.contributor.authorSanver, M.Remzi
dc.date.accessioned2022-10-13T09:39:45Z
dc.date.available2022-10-13T09:39:45Z
dc.date.issued2022-08
dc.description.abstractAbstract: A voting rule is monotonic if a winning candidate never becomes a loser by being raised in voters’ rankings of candidates, ceteris paribus. Plurality with a runoff is known to fail monotonicity. To see how widespread this failure is, we focus on French presidential elections since 1965. We identify mathematical conditions that allow a logically conceivable scenario of vote shifts between candidates that may lead to a monotonicity violation. We show that eight among the ten elections held since 1965 (those in 1965 and 1974 being the exceptions) exhibit this theoretical vulnerability. To be sure, the conceived scenario of vote shifts that enables a monotonicity violation may not be plausible under the political context of the considered election. Thus, we analyze the political landscape of these eight elections and argue that for two of them (2002 and 2007 elections), the monotonicity violation scenario was plausible within the conjuncture of the time. © 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.en_US
dc.fullTextLevelFull Texten_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s00355-022-01397-4en_US
dc.identifier.issn0176-1714
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85126225298en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11411/4571
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00355-022-01397-4
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000768605800002en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.issue2en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.nationalInternationalen_US
dc.numberofauthors3en_US
dc.pages305 - 333en_US
dc.publisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbHen_US
dc.relation.ispartofSocial Choice and Welfareen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.titleMonotonicity violations under plurality with a runoff: the case of French presidential electionsen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.volume59en_US

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