Robust informational tests on the CAPM

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Tarih

2001

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Routledge

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

The paper demonstrates the existence of an independent informational content in the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) that financial analysts are not fully utilizing in their forecast-generating mechanism. This existence is discovered by regressing actual values of five-year firm earnings growth against financial analysts' ex-ante forecasts and simulated ex-ante forecasts generated by the CAPM. Regressions are run over a cross-section of firms for each of four adjacent five-year horizons: January 1982-1987; 1983-1988; 1984-1989; 1985-1990. In three out of four test periods, the coefficient of the CAPM forecasts is significantly positive. This is essentially the same experiment with the same results as obtained previously, with one exception: a diagnostic analysis and corrective procedures are performed and results are generated that are heteroscedasticity-robust.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Consistent Covariance-Matrix, Heteroskedasticity, Forecasts

Kaynak

Applied Economics Letters

WoS Q Değeri

Q4

Scopus Q Değeri

Q2

Cilt

8

Sayı

2

Künye