Regulated seasonal unit root process

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Date

2022

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

Walter De Gruyter Gmbh

Access Rights

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Abstract

Unfortunately, time series problems do not appear in data singly. We focus on the joint occurrence of nonstationarity, seasonality and bounded data. Seasonal unit root tests and bounded unit root tests already exist in the literature, yet when all these issues are combined their performance needs improvement. That is why we offer a testing procedure for bounded seasonal unit root processes. The combination of these tests is not straightforward as the nonlinearity coming from bounds causes the limiting distribution of the proposed test statistic to be multivariate Brownian motion while the others have univariate distributions. The simulation exercises reveal that the existing tests, which ignores the presence of bounds or seasonality, suffer significant size problems. Our statistic removes the size distortions and also maintain satisfactory power performance.

Description

Keywords

Regulated Brownian Motion, Regulated Time Series, Seasonal Unit Roots, Efficient Tests, Selection

Journal or Series

Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics

WoS Q Value

Q4

Scopus Q Value

Q2

Volume

26

Issue

3

Citation