Time-varying cointegration and the Kalman filter
dc.contributor.author | Eroğlu, Burak Alparslan | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-29T12:04:07Z | |
dc.date.available | 2021-06-29T12:04:07Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2020 | |
dc.description.abstract | We show that time-varying parameter state-space models estimated using the Kalman filter are particularly vulnerable to the problem of spurious regression, because the integrated error is transferred to the estimated state equation. We offer a simple yet effective methodology to reliably recover the instability in cointegrating vectors. In the process, the proposed methodology successfully distinguishes between the cases of no cointegration, fixed cointegration, and time-varying cointegration. We apply these proposed tests to elucidate the relationship between concentrations of greenhouse gases and global temperatures, an important relationship to both climate scientists and economists. | en_US |
dc.fullTextLevel | Full Text | en_US |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1080/07474938.2020.1861776 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 0747-4938 | |
dc.identifier.scopus | 2-s2.0-85099466636 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/11411/3908 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://doi.org/10.1080/07474938.2020.1861776 | |
dc.identifier.wos | WOS:000607701900001 | en_US |
dc.identifier.wosquality | Q1 | en_US |
dc.indekslendigikaynak | Web of Science | en_US |
dc.indekslendigikaynak | Scopus | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
dc.national | International | en_US |
dc.numberofauthors | 3 | en_US |
dc.pages | 44197 | en_US |
dc.publisher | Bellwether Publishing, Ltd. | en_US |
dc.relation.ispartof | Econometric Reviews | en_US |
dc.relation.publicationcategory | Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı | en_US |
dc.rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | en_US |
dc.snmz | 20240718_Mükerrer | |
dc.subject | Climate change | en_US |
dc.subject | Kalman filter | en_US |
dc.subject | spurious regression | en_US |
dc.subject | time-varying cointegration | en_US |
dc.title | Time-varying cointegration and the Kalman filter | |
dc.type | Article |