A general model for financial crises: An application to eurozone crisis

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2020

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Elsevier

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

We provide a mathematical framework to spot the non-resilient periods of an economy and understand the reason why an economy becomes non-resilient. Our non-resilience indicator spots the distressful periods of sixteen European economies successfully over the course of almost thirty years. To understand why these economies became non-resilient, we solve a problem related to survival analysis and establish an analytic relationship between the leverage level of an economy and its macro fundamentals. We apply our approach to the same group of countries and show with a vector autoregressive model why certain indebted European economies still struggle years after the crisis.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Foreign Debt, Debt Crises, Debt Crises International Finance, Current Account Deficit, Stochastic Optimal Control, Stochastic Optimal-Control, Time, Survival, Growth, Risk

Kaynak

International Review of Economics & Finance

WoS Q Değeri

Q2

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

70

Sayı

Künye