An analysis of regime shifts in the Turkish economy

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2008

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Elsevier

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

We use a time-varying dynamic factor model with regime switching to construct and estimate the leading indicators of the currency crises in Turkey. After that, we analyze the business cycles of the Turkish economy, by using a three-state univariate Markov-switching model. Both models capture the observed dynamics of the Turkish economy over the period 1987-2002. (C) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Currency Crisis, Markov-Switching, Time-Varying Parameter, Three-State Model, Turkey, Likelihood Ratio Test, Exchange-Rates, Markov, Series

Kaynak

Economic Modelling

WoS Q Değeri

Q4

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

25

Sayı

5

Künye