Art and the Economy: A First Look at the Market for Paintings in Turkey

Abstract

We investigate the relationships between the return on investments in paintings and other financial investments in Turkey. To this aim, we estimate a hedonic price index for a portfolio of Turkish painters. We find that investing in the market for paintings is a viable alternative even in an environment of high inflation and large macroeconomic volatility. The portfolio under investigation yielded a small but positive real return. Still, stock market returns are higher than the returns in the art market. Furthermore, we find a rather high correlation between stock returns and art market returns. However, the returns to investing in paintings are negatively correlated with the returns on traditional investment alternatives in a developing country context, such as foreign exchange, gold, and bank deposits. Hence, there might exist some room for portfolio diversification. Nevertheless, the time horizon of the investments is a key factor especially in portfolios involving art objects.