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    Bileteral Normalization and Regional Security: An Analysis of the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict Resolution Process Through
    (İstanbul Bilgi Üniversitesi, 2014) Iskenderova, Sevinj; Gürsoy, Yaprak
    The direction taken by Turkish-Armenian relations changed after 2008 with the launch of the Turkish-Armenian Normalization Process (TANP). The key element of TANP is the opening Turkish–Armenian borders, with the goal of creating security and stability in the South Caucasus. This study compares the pre-TANP and post-TANP eras in order to answer the question "how did the liberal stand of Turkish foreign policy vis-à-vis the issue of Turkish Armenian bilateral relations (the so-called TANP) influence the resolution of the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict?" Utilizing academic literature and secondary data of speeches, statements and quotes from the key political figures in the process, I compare two periods (pre-2008 and post-2008) to answer my research question. The research demonstrates that furthering the TANP’s liberal approach did not increase the chance for peace in the Caucasus region; on the contrary, it had the opposite effect on the prospects of peace for the Nagorno-Karabakh (NK) conflict by escalating the ongoing conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia. To verify my hypothesis I examine the following research question: “How did the liberal stance of Turkish foreign policy vis-à-vis the issue of Turkish-Armenian bilateral relations (the so-called TANP) influence the resolution of the NK Conflict?” The outcome of my research will confirm or deny my hypothesis. I use content analysis as my research methodology to compare two periods: pre- normalization (2006-2008) and post-normalization (2008-2010). I compare the reaction of the Azerbaijani and Armenian sides during these two periods on the resolution of the NKC. I collect data with “negative” and “positive” rhetorical statements from the presidents and ministers of foreign affairs in Azerbaijan and Armenia, as well as opposition parties, government officials, experts, and others in the two countries. All of the data are collected from the Internet using Google search with the keywords: Nagorno-Karabakh resolution, Serj 2 Bilateral Normalization and Regional Security. Sargsyan statement on NK resolution, Minister of Foreign Affairs (MFA) of Armenia statement on NK, Ilham Aliyev statement on NK, MFA of Azerbaijan statement on NK, opposition reaction to NK resolution, Nagorno-Karabakh and TANP. Afterwards, I manually count the “negative” and ”positive” rhetorical statements of the two sides and compare the outcome in terms of percentages, counting how many changes were made from one period to the other.