Impact of Climate Change on Natural Snow Reliability, Snowmaking Capacities, and Wind Conditions of Ski Resorts in Northeast Turkey: A Dynamical Downscaling Approach

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dc.WoS.categoriesMeteorology & Atmospheric Sciencesen_US
dc.authorid0000-0002-7814-4464en_US
dc.contributor.authorDemiroğlu, Osman Cenk
dc.contributor.authorTurp, Mustafa Tufan
dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Tuğba
dc.contributor.authorKurnaz, Mehmet Levent
dc.date.accessioned2020-12-15T07:30:26Z
dc.date.available2020-12-15T07:30:26Z
dc.date.issued2016-04
dc.departmentMeslek Yüksekokulları, Meslek Yüksekokulu, Turizm ve Otel İşletmeciliği Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractMany ski resorts worldwide are going through deteriorating snow cover conditions due to anthropogenic warming trends. As the natural and the artificially supported, i.e., technical, snow reliability of ski resorts diminish, the industry approaches a deadlock. For this reason, impact assessment studies have become vital for understanding vulnerability of ski tourism. This study considers three resorts at one of the rapidly emerging ski destinations, Northeast Turkey, for snow reliability analyses. Initially one global circulation model is dynamically downscaled by using the regional climate model RegCM4.4 for 1971-2000 and 2021-2050 periods along the RCP4.5 greenhouse gas concentration pathway. Next, the projected climate outputs are converted into indicators of natural snow reliability, snowmaking capacity, and wind conditions. The results show an overall decline in the frequencies of naturally snow reliable days and snowmaking capacities between the two periods. Despite the decrease, only the lower altitudes of one ski resort would face the risk of losing natural snow reliability and snowmaking could still compensate for forming the base layer before the critical New Year's week. On the other hand, adverse high wind conditions improve as to reduce the number of lift closure days at all resorts. Overall, this particular region seems to be relatively resilient against climate change.en_US
dc.fullTextLevelFull Texten_US
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/atmos7040052en_US
dc.identifier.issn2073-4433
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-84965170958en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11411/2847
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.3390/atmos7040052
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000375211200004en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.issue4en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.nationalInternationalen_US
dc.numberofauthors4en_US
dc.publisherMdpien_US
dc.relation.ispartofAtmosphereen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectclimate changeen_US
dc.subjectRegCM4.4en_US
dc.subjectsnow reliabilityen_US
dc.subjectsnowmakingen_US
dc.subjectski tourismen_US
dc.subjectTurkeyen_US
dc.titleImpact of Climate Change on Natural Snow Reliability, Snowmaking Capacities, and Wind Conditions of Ski Resorts in Northeast Turkey: A Dynamical Downscaling Approachen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.volume7en_US

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