Tumor Mutation Burden as a Cornerstone in Precision Oncology Landscapes: Effect of Panel Size and Uncertainty in Cutoffs

Abstract

Tumor mutation burden (TMB) has profound implications for personalized cancer therapy, particularly immunotherapy. However, the size of the panel and the cutoff values for an accurate determination of TMB are still controversial. In this study, a pan-cancer analysis was performed on 22 cancer types from The Cancer Genome Atlas. The efficiency of gene panels of different sizes and the effect of cutoff values in accurate TMB determination was assessed on a large cohort using Whole Exome Sequencing data (n = 9929 patients) as the gold standard. Gene panels of four different sizes (i.e., 0.44-2.54 Mb) were selected for comparative analyses. The heterogeneity of TMB within and between cancer types is observed to be very high, and it becomes possible to obtain the exact TMB value as the size of the panel increases. In panels with limited size, it is particularly difficult to recognize patients with low TMB. In addition, the use of a general TMB cutoff can be quite misleading. The optimal cutoff value varies between 5 and 20, depending on the TMB distribution of the different tumor types. The use of comprehensive gene panels and the optimization of TMB cutoff values for different cancer types can make TMB a robust biomarker in precision oncology. Moreover, optimization of TMB can help accelerate translational medicine research, and by extension, delivery of personalized cancer care in the future.